3 days ago · Overview. Asteroid 2024 YR4 is a near-Earth asteroid, meaning it is an asteroid in an orbit that brings it into Earth’s region of the Solar System. 2024 YR4 is estimated to be about 130 to 300 feet (40 – 90 meters) wide and has a very small chance of Earth impact on Dec. 22, 2032.

2024 YR 4 is an asteroid estimated to be 40 to 90 metres (130 to 300 ft) in diameter, and is classified as an Apollo-type (Earth-crossing) near-Earth object.It was discovered by the Chilean station of the Asteroid Terrestrial-impact Last Alert System (ATLAS) on 27 December 2024. [2] [1] As of 9 February 2025, 2024 YR 4 was rated as a 3 on the Torino scale, with a 1-in-45 (2.2%) …

Feb 1, 2025 · CNEOS analysis of near-Earth asteroid 2024 YR4, which is estimated to be about 40 to 90 meters wide, indicates it has a more than 1% chance of impacting Earth on Dec. 22, 2032 — which also means there is almost a 99% chance this asteroid will not impact.

3 days ago · While still an extremely low possibility, additional observations and analysis of asteroid 2024 YR4 indicate that its impact probability with Earth has increased to a 2.3% chance on Dec. 22, 2032. Ongoing observations from ground-based telescopes involved with the International Asteroid Warning Network will continue while the asteroid is still visible through …

2 days ago · Named 2024 YR4, the asteroid has a 2.2% chance of hitting our planet on December 22, 2032, according to the European Space Agency. The risk assessment has increased from a chance of 1.2% over the ...

22 hours ago · Why is asteroid 2024 YR4 important? Asteroid 2024 YR4 was discovered on 27 December 2024. As of 10 February 2025, it has an approximately 98% chance of safely passing Earth on 22 December 2032. Astronomers are working to reduce our uncertainty about the asteroid’s orbit and rule out any impact risk, but it will fade from view from Earth in a few …

2 days ago · On Jan. 29, the chances of this asteroid (named 2024 YR4) striking our planet on Dec. 22, 2032, were 1.3 percent. Then they rose to 1.7 percent on Feb. 1, before dropping the next day to 1.4 percent.

Jan 27, 2025 · On February 6, 2025, the odds of asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting us went up once again, to a 1-in-43 chance. That’s 2.3%. The asteroid remains at a 3 on the Torino scale.

Jan 31, 2025 · Dubbed 2024 YR4, the object—somewhere between 40 and 100 meters in size—was spotted on December 27. The asteroid’s closest approach to Earth, it turned out, had been two days earlier, when YR4...

Jan 30, 2025 · 2024 YR4 is garnering so much attention because of more than 37,000 near-Earth asteroids already discovered, it is the only one with more than a 1 in 1,000 chance of impact.