The Conservative Party chipped away at the lead held by Mark Carney’s Liberals in the final days of Canada’s election campaign, though surveys still point to a probable Liberal victory in Monday’s vote.

Canada’s new prime minister, a political novice, is on the cusp of leading his party to a comeback, fueled in part by President Donald Trump’s attacks.

The two leading candidates, Pierre Poilievre and Mark Carney, both plan to fight the U.S., its largest trading partner, over tariffs. But who would be more successful as relations grow icy?